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Success on the big stage: A guide to betting on the NBA Finals

Success on the big stage: A guide to betting on the NBA Finals

Discover the unmatched excitement of watching and predicting the results of basketball's biggest stage: the NBA Finals. Place your wagers here at Gamdom.

Author : Pocholo Magsino
Published : 05/27/2025

Success on the big stage: A guide to betting on the NBA Finals

The NBA Finals are filled with high-level games, as it is a series between the two best teams from the Western and Eastern Conferences. It is also a thrilling way to bet on the NBA thanks to the high stakes and immense pressure on every game of the best-of-seven series.

KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • The NBA Finals typically involve major adjustments during games, so you should always be updated when making your predictions.
  • Numbers are especially important for basketball betting as they help identify trends and shape strategies you can use before betting.
  • NBA Finals games are usually more low-scoring than most games in the NBA Playoffs as teams are focused on preventing their opponents from scoring with more powerful fouls.

Anyone looking to enjoy the NBA should be aware of the NBA Finals, the last seven-game series of the year that decides the champion. It showcases the highest level of the NBA, making it incredible to watch and even more thrilling to bet on at Gamdom.

What makes the NBA Finals the big stage to bet on?

If you are looking for the right time to bet on the NBA, the Finals are your final opportunity. It is the biggest stage as it culminates an 82-game regular season and three previous rounds of the NBA Playoffs. Here, the top team from the West go against the East’s top team in a seven-game series.

The NBA Finals is always packed with excitement as players perform their best to showcase their talents. At the same time, they are chasing their ultimate goal, which is to win the championship. With those high stakes, the NBA Finals look even more appealing for viewers and bettors. 

If you are interested in the intricacies of high-level basketball, the NBA Finals has it all. You will see the star players thriving on the biggest stage while coaches make strategic adjustments to beat their rivals. It is the complete package for a sports competition you must bet on. Thankfully, Gamdom has plenty of options if you decide to place bets on NBA Finals.

Bet on live and upcoming NBA games

NBA Finals betting markets you can place bets on

Now that piqued your interest to bet on basketball, Gamdom has markets to place NBA Finals predictions on. Here are the most popular options:

  • Winner (Incl. Overtime) - You simply bet on which team you feel will win the game. Keep in mind that this includes a potential overtime period, so you'd better think about that possibility when you are looking to place a bet.
  • 1x2 - Think of this as a winner market since you are choosing between the home team and the away team, considering there is no draw in basketball.
  • Total - You are given a specific number for the combined total points of the two teams, but your job is to predict if the final score will be over or under that number.
  • Halftime/Fulltime - Predict which team will have the lead at halftime and when the game is done after all four quarters or the overtime period.
  • Handicap - The favourite is given a handicap, so betting on them is tougher as they have to exceed the given handicap. The market is easier to win when betting on the underdog since they only have to keep in step with the set handicap or outright win the game.
  • Winning Margin - This is where you predict the winning margin you feel will be the separator between the winner and loser of a game. Keep in mind that you are also picking the winner of the game with this bet, so think of it as a two-pronged prediction.
  • Will There Be Overtime - This is a simple yes or no market where you predict if there will be an overtime/extra period or not for the game.
  • Odd/Even - Think of this as the total market, but you predict if the combined score is an odd or even number.
  • Player-specific markets - Here, you are given predictions for specific players, which could be the number of points they will score or how many fouls they will commit. It is pretty straightforward since you are predicting what they will do.

Live and outright betting

Apart from the popular upcoming markets before the game, you can also place bets on two other formats for the NBA Finals. The first is live betting, which involves making NBA championship predictions on ongoing games. Place and make sure to finalise your wagers as the games unfold, which adds excitement to your decision-making in real-time.

On the other hand, outright betting is done way before the NBA Finals start. This is where you predict who wins the current NBA season, before the campaign even starts. Outright betting lets you consider the whole run of both Conferences, and predict which team will come out on top based on previous season stats and early player news.

NBA Finals betting trends and historical patterns

Since the NBA Finals are usually the biggest event on the basketball calendar, you must look into the trends and patterns that could play a role in your NBA Finals betting. Here are some of the trends: 

  • Home-court advantage - Throughout NBA history, the teams with the home-court advantage have won the NBA Finals 56 of 77 times, excluding the Orlando Bubble in 2020. Take note of the team with the home-court advantage, since the numbers favour them. 
  • Game 1 matters - Taking the first game of a best-of-seven series is highly important as that sets the tone for the rest of the series. Winning that leads to good momentum.
  • Expect defence-focused games - Even if teams are offensive juggernauts, the games in the NBA Finals involve lockdown defence. Lower-scoring games happen because the intensity picks up, and both teams refuse to let the opponent score.
  • Experience will always matter - A team with championship experience matters since they know how to deal with pressure, especially on the biggest stage basketball has to offer. 

How to make adjustments for your NBA Finals bets

NBA Finals betting can be challenging when the coaches make changes throughout the series. You must make adjustments when betting on the games, so you must be ready to analyse the games. Here are the best ways to do so: 

Look into the matchups 

Every team plays against each other at least twice in a season, so you have good data to look back on for your matchup bets. Matchups are crucial for your predictions as players adapt their strategies depending on who they are playing against.

Dive into the data

Apart from understanding the basics like points, rebounds, and assists, there's a wider range of metrics to consider when analysing NBA Finals teams. You can track shot location data, defensive ratings, offensive ratings, advanced stats, and more, which can help with your wagers and can be used for Poisson Distribution’s data analysis.

Monitor what coaches do with their system

Observe how coaches adjust their player rotations and game plans from game to game. This information can be valuable during betting decisions.

Adjust to how the star players are performing

Stay informed about the greatest NBA players as they can significantly impact the series, which is crucial for making informed bets.

Make EuroLeague basketball bets here

Common mistakes to avoid when betting on the NBA Finals

Common mistakes happen to new and experienced bettors alike. Here are those common mistakes you must avoid: 

  • Overreacting to a game’s result - Do not overreact to a single blowout loss on a game and change your bets entirely. Be cautious of misleading results, as some teams can have bad games, which may not accurately reflect a team's overall performance.
  • Ignoring coaching adjustments - Coaches must change their strategies during the Finals as the opposing coach has more opportunity to analyse and prepare for them. They must make changes to help their team win with the right tactics. 
  • Following the media narratives - Do not be convinced by some nefarious media narratives that do not tell the whole story. Trust your perspective and do not refer to just one source.

Neglecting the NBA Finals odds - When betting on the NBA Finals, you must check the NBA Finals betting odds to see who the favourite and underdog are. This also helps you determine how much you can win when you place a bet.

 

General NBA Finals betting tips

When preparing for the NBA Finals as a bettor, you should know some tips that could help you. Here are the best tips to follow:

  • Stay up to date - You must check out the injury reports, team announcements, and possible lineup changes. Social media will be your tool here, but you can also check the official websites as they have updates like load management. However, that is unlikely for the Finals.
  • Analyse the stats - The numbers matter in the NBA, especially with your betting. Go deeper than just the points by looking at matchup data and player trends. 
  • Pay attention to the coach - In every game, the coach has a major influence on how the teams play, which is through the rotations, substitutions, timeouts, and defensive schemes.
  • Maximise star players’ impact - In the Finals, stars usually play the most minutes since they are the most influential players. As bettors, you must rely on them to be massive factors for your wagers.

Teams that can play in the 2025 NBA Finals

With the 2025 Finals on the horizon, the NBA has four teams that could participate in the Finals. Those are the Oklahoma City Thunder, Minnesota Timberwolves, New York Knicks, and Indiana Pacers. It is a unique group as they are not the usual teams fans often see, making it a more unpredictable and exciting Finals series. Here are those teams:

Oklahoma City Thunder

This is the favourite to win the championship as they have been the most successful regular season team this season with 68 wins. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads this team as its superstar, and he has the support of one of the best defensive systems in NBA history, led by players like Chet Holmgren, Lu Dort, and Alex Caruso.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Led by Anthony Edwards, the Timberwolves are a massive threat to any team as they have the depth to compete with anyone. With Julius Randle emerging as the best second option in the postseason, the Timberwolves are in a good place to upset the Thunder and possibly go on a title run.

New York Knicks

With Jalen Brunson as the star player, the Knicks are in a good place to compete. They have one of the most chaotic rotations in the league as they fight for every rebound and loose ball. They also have a superb defence, which is balanced by the firepower provided by Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns, and OG Anunoby.

Indiana Pacers

With Tyrese Haliburton handling point guard duties, this makes Pacers a dangerous team. They have the scrappiness required for the Playoffs, but they also have the fast-paced offence usually seen in a team led by Haliburton. 

Who is favoured to win in the NBA Finals?

The favourite to win the 2025 NBA Finals is the Thunder. They have earned their way to becoming the best team in the regular season, but they have also proven they have the quality to beat a team like the Denver Nuggets in the second round. 

With SGA as the star player, this team has a high ceiling. Thankfully for Thunder fans, Shai is not the only star as names like Holmgren and Jalen Williams make this team tough to play against.

How to start betting on NBA Finals games at Gamdom

Bet on the NBA Finals by signing in at Gamdom. Here are the steps you must follow to start betting on:

  1. Register and sign in to your Gamdom account.
     

     

  2. Click the sidebar in the upper-left corner to find the ‘Sports’ button to go to the sports betting page.
  3. You can find the available sports there, specifically basketball and the NBA.
     

     

  4. Browse and find the markets you want to place NBA Finals bets on. Confirm your prediction on the Bet Slip found in the lower-right corner.

Get the most out of the NBA Finals by betting at Gamdom

The NBA Finals provide an unmatched opportunity for basketball fans to enjoy the game at its highest level. For viewers, the excitement of watching the game is second to none. With the right strategy and understanding of the betting markets, bettors can share in that same thrill. Bet here at Gamdom, where you can get live, upcoming and outright betting! 

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